Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.154518 0.176093 0.200119 0.228953 0.262737 0.301215 0.348562
2025-11-30 0.121598 0.150492 0.185933 0.233026 0.294590 0.373214 0.482638
2025-12-07 0.099376 0.130315 0.170961 0.229128 0.311655 0.426735 0.603306
2025-12-14 0.086013 0.118080 0.162584 0.230243 0.332993 0.487388 0.745308
2025-12-21 0.075840 0.108127 0.155031 0.230077 0.350909 0.544752 0.894197
2025-12-28 0.069281 0.102182 0.151985 0.235487 0.377434 0.619664 1.089614
2026-01-04 0.063466 0.096426 0.148165 0.238612 0.400107 0.691798 1.298048
2026-01-11 0.058645 0.091529 0.144886 0.241816 0.423001 0.768319 1.535280
2026-01-18 0.055073 0.088166 0.143575 0.248019 0.452134 0.862299 1.836019
2026-01-25 0.051146 0.083721 0.139793 0.249012 0.471172 0.939642 2.122587
2026-02-01 0.047551 0.079438 0.135739 0.248791 0.487528 1.014498 2.426765
2026-02-08 0.044076 0.074997 0.130864 0.246202 0.498320 1.079045 2.725580
2026-02-15 0.040728 0.070521 0.125546 0.242226 0.505971 1.139426 3.039266
2026-02-22 0.038898 0.068677 0.125049 0.248243 0.537556 1.266740 3.602530
2026-03-01 0.036164 0.064856 0.120261 0.244345 0.545020 1.333754 4.004540
2026-03-08 0.034237 0.062410 0.117953 0.245601 0.565368 1.440978 4.590993
2026-03-15 0.032356 0.059878 0.115195 0.245431 0.582084 1.542459 5.206262
2026-03-22 0.031178 0.058645 0.115014 0.251267 0.615819 1.704169 6.140788
2026-03-29 0.029881 0.057047 0.113881 0.254637 0.643546 1.855529 7.120951
2026-04-05 0.028690 0.055565 0.112840 0.258093 0.672295 2.019286 8.259918
2026-04-12 0.027821 0.054687 0.113055 0.264785 0.712078 2.234185 9.795273
2026-04-19 0.026617 0.052985 0.111221 0.265858 0.735038 2.396366 11.178366
2026-04-26 0.025416 0.051193 0.109006 0.265619 0.753936 2.550062 12.636530